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POLYMARKET・官方公開紀錄3 天前
無跟單 · 無個人化

公開戰績僅代表過去/當下事實、不代表未來結果;本頁為純資訊揭露、不構成任何投資建議。

僅計入加密/總經相關市場的績效(非該錢包在 Polymarket 上的全部版位,體育/政治等其他版位不計入);方向一律中性;勝率僅參考、不列入任何排序;無跟單/追蹤/複製。

資料來自 Polymarket 官方公開 API;「官方公開紀錄」徽章代表已通過我們的樣本門檻篩選,並非 本站鏈上查驗(與 Hyperliquid 聰明錢戰績榜的鏈上驗證方法論不同)。

下方「交易紀錄」「目前持倉」為每日批次快照(非即時)、僅列出加密相關市場部位;Polymarket 官方 API 不提供歷史盈虧曲線/夏普值/最大回撤/掛單資料,本頁不做假數據呈現。

加密相關市場已實現損益
+$119,714

僅計加密相關市場、已平倉部位

總損益含未平倉
+$138,027

已實現+目前未平倉部位的未實現損益

盈虧比
9.5×

平均賺 ÷ 平均賠

綜合分
56

加密相關損益+盈虧比+樣本綜合

勝率僅參考
71%

已結算部位中最終獲利的比例,不計入評分、不參與排序

已結算部位
65

加密相關市場中已結算(已解決)的部位數

目前持倉

目前未平倉的加密相關市場部位・損益為未實現、尚未落袋

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· No
139,912.28 份・進場 80% → 現價 88%
+$9,991
未實現・未落袋
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
50,245.99 份・進場 79% → 現價 88%
+$4,074
未實現・未落袋
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?· No
65,152.93 份・進場 76% → 現價 82%
+$3,603
未實現・未落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?· No
7,550.93 份・進場 70% → 現價 83%
+$944
未實現・未落袋
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?· Yes
3,594.26 份・進場 88% → 現價 99%
+$387
未實現・未落袋
Anduril IPO before 2027?· No
3,332.4 份・進場 88% → 現價 95%
+$225
未實現・未落袋
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House· No
39,999.96 份・進場 88% → 現價 88%
−$200
未實現・未落袋
Iran Nuke before 2027?· No
1,263.35 份・進場 87% → 現價 94%
+$87
未實現・未落袋
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?· No
183.34 份・進場 68% → 現價 93%
+$45
未實現・未落袋
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?· Yes
146 份・進場 34% → 現價 4%
−$43
未實現・未落袋
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?· No
671.35 份・進場 82% → 現價 84%
+$10
未實現・未落袋
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?· Yes
5 份・進場 52% → 現價 14%
−$2
未實現・未落袋

已結算部位

每個市場的最終賺賠・僅加密相關市場・依獲利高低排序・每日批次快照、非即時

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?· No
進場均價 82%・69 天前
獲利+$71,882
已實現・已落袋
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?· No
進場均價 100%・103 天前
獲利+$9,078
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 96%・362 天前
獲利+$7,160
已實現・已落袋
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?· No
進場均價 89%・257 天前
獲利+$6,756
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 92%・362 天前
獲利+$6,736
已實現・已落袋
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 90%・47 天前
獲利+$5,287
已實現・已落袋
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?· Yes
進場均價 93%・226 天前
獲利+$4,116
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 95%・229 天前
獲利+$3,677
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 98%・320 天前
獲利+$2,767
已實現・已落袋
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?· Yes
進場均價 93%・138 天前
獲利+$2,463
已實現・已落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?· No
進場均價 89%・104 天前
獲利+$1,499
已實現・已落袋
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?· Yes
進場均價 95%・332 天前
獲利+$1,433
已實現・已落袋
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?· No
進場均價 92%・138 天前
獲利+$1,228
已實現・已落袋
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?· No
進場均價 78%・14 天前
獲利+$1,212
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 97%・453 天前
獲利+$1,044
已實現・已落袋
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?· Yes
進場均價 90%・441 天前
獲利+$1,022
已實現・已落袋
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 95%・229 天前
獲利+$946
已實現・已落袋
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?· No
進場均價 66%・223 天前
獲利+$822
已實現・已落袋
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?· Yes
進場均價 72%・225 天前
獲利+$642
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?· No
進場均價 88%・114 天前
獲利+$507
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?· No
進場均價 2%・228 天前
獲利+$452
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 100%・278 天前
獲利+$441
已實現・已落袋
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?· Yes
進場均價 85%・255 天前
獲利+$441
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 80%・47 天前
獲利+$304
已實現・已落袋
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?· No
進場均價 94%・225 天前
獲利+$247
已實現・已落袋
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?· Yes
進場均價 97%・226 天前
獲利+$219
已實現・已落袋
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?· Yes
進場均價 94%・224 天前
獲利+$183
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 96%・462 天前
獲利+$176
已實現・已落袋
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?· No
進場均價 89%・280 天前
獲利+$168
已實現・已落袋
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?· No
進場均價 90%・223 天前
獲利+$145
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 83%・278 天前
獲利+$112
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 14%・354 天前
獲利+$103
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 83%・292 天前
獲利+$100
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 98%・411 天前
獲利+$96
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?· Yes
進場均價 10%・424 天前
獲利+$67
已實現・已落袋
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?· No
進場均價 94%・255 天前
獲利+$67
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 97%・369 天前
獲利+$46
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for France by Feburary 1?· No
進場均價 89%・225 天前
獲利+$26
已實現・已落袋
Fed rate cut by September meeting?· Yes
進場均價 97%・369 天前
獲利+$25
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Finland by Feburary 1?· No
進場均價 88%・225 天前
獲利+$16
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1?· No
進場均價 88%・225 天前
獲利+$11
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The Netherlands by Feburary 1?· No
進場均價 89%・225 天前
獲利+$11
已實現・已落袋
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?· Yes
進場均價 98%・10 天前
獲利+$11
已實現・已落袋
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?· No
進場均價 6%・314 天前
獲利+$8
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?· No
進場均價 87%・225 天前
獲利+$6
已實現・已落袋
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Sweden by Feburary 1?· No
進場均價 89%・225 天前
獲利+$1
已實現・已落袋
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?· No
進場均價 17%・278 天前
獲利+$0
已實現・已落袋
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 97%・195 天前
虧損−$1
已實現・已落袋
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?· No
進場均價 78%・98 天前
虧損−$12
已實現・已落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?· Yes
進場均價 25%・104 天前
虧損−$36
已實現・已落袋
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?· No
進場均價 5%・425 天前
虧損−$43
已實現・已落袋
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?· Yes
進場均價 39%・313 天前
虧損−$55
已實現・已落袋
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?· Yes
進場均價 2%・441 天前
虧損−$58
已實現・已落袋
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?· Yes
進場均價 45%・225 天前
虧損−$76
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 17%・294 天前
虧損−$99
已實現・已落袋
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?· Yes
進場均價 72%・228 天前
虧損−$105
已實現・已落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
進場均價 94%・41 天前
虧損−$213
已實現・已落袋
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?· Yes
進場均價 1%・103 天前
虧損−$480
已實現・已落袋
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 25%・362 天前
虧損−$501
已實現・已落袋
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 25%・362 天前
虧損−$538
已實現・已落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?· Yes
進場均價 35%・24 天前
虧損−$561
已實現・已落袋
Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?· Yes
進場均價 100%・487 天前
虧損−$731
已實現・已落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?· Yes
進場均價 67%・69 天前
虧損−$1,229
已實現・已落袋
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?· Yes
進場均價 21%・125 天前
虧損−$3,818
已實現・已落袋
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
進場均價 21%・3 天前
虧損−$5,490
已實現・已落袋

交易紀錄

最近加密相關市場交易・每日批次快照、非即時・中性記錄非跟單建議

BUY
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?· No
25,374.07 份 @ 79%
14 小時前
BUY
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?· No
29,278.72 份 @ 75%
15 小時前
BUY
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?· No
939.61 份 @ 74%
16 小時前
BUY
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?· No
1,149.37 份 @ 71%
17 小時前
BUY
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?· No
6,748.2 份 @ 71%
17 小時前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
246 份 @ 78%
3 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
6,484.57 份 @ 47%
10 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
8,961.99 份 @ 50%
10 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
2,833.83 份 @ 48%
10 天前
BUY
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?· Yes
525 份 @ 98%
11 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
1,563.01 份 @ 57%
11 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?· Yes
8,917.47 份 @ 57%
11 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?· No
7,150.93 份 @ 70%
24 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?· Yes
11,479.52 份 @ 30%
24 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?· Yes
1,282.41 份 @ 35%
28 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?· Yes
12,761.93 份 @ 35%
28 天前
BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?· No
1,630.85 份 @ 79%
28 天前
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?· No
1,519.43 份 @ 79%
48 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
2,000.26 份 @ 82%
55 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
2,561.26 份 @ 88%
55 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
193.76 份 @ 88%
55 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
0.1 份 @ 95%
61 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
0.3 份 @ 95%
61 天前
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
1 份 @ 95%
61 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
8,858.21 份 @ 95%
61 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
14,437.54 份 @ 95%
61 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
3,033 份 @ 64%
63 天前
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?· Yes
1,257 份 @ 62%
63 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?· Yes
9,412.79 份 @ 61%
65 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
5,000 份 @ 94%
65 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
2,061.31 份 @ 92%
65 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?· Yes
1,220.24 份 @ 61%
69 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
3,202.06 份 @ 90%
70 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?· No
5 份 @ 100%
74 天前
SELL
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?· Yes
247.43 份 @ 81%
77 天前
SELL
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?· Yes
349.35 份 @ 82%
77 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?· No
2,707.18 份 @ 92%
80 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?· No
40 份 @ 88%
81 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
13,492.88 份 @ 51%
82 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?· No
3,768.24 份 @ 95%
82 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?· No
16,692.51 份 @ 13%
83 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?· No
5 份 @ 94%
84 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?· No
5 份 @ 94%
84 天前
BUY
Anduril IPO before 2027?· No
594.68 份 @ 90%
85 天前
BUY
Anduril IPO before 2027?· No
152.71 份 @ 88%
85 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?· No
6,808.21 份 @ 13%
85 天前
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?· No
143,192.04 份 @ 93%
86 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
2,364.44 份 @ 55%
87 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?· No
1,005 份 @ 56%
87 天前
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?· No
10 份 @ 15%
87 天前
FlowRadar Crypto· 純資訊與分析服務(information & analytics only)· 不構成任何投資建議資料來自 Polymarket 官方公開 API · 僅計加密相關市場 · 方向中性 · 勝率僅參考不排序 · 無跟單/複製/個人化